Sharing insights with Vested community when I was trying to understand myself why a sudden dip in the US stock market.
- Rising Interest Rates & Fed Policy
- The Fed remains hawkish, keeping interest rates higher for longer.
- Higher rates = More expensive borrowing for businesses = Slower growth.
- Money flows from stocks to safer assets like bonds (which are yielding over 5% in some cases).
- Earnings Pressure & Overvaluation
- Companies are struggling to meet earnings expectations, and some tech stocks were heavily overvalued post-COVID.
- Growth companies (think Tesla, Amazon, etc.) are hit the hardest as future earnings get discounted more in a high-rate environment.
- China & Global Slowdown
- China’s economy is in a deep structural slowdown (real estate crisis, weak consumer spending).
- A weak China affects US companies heavily dependent on Chinese demand (Apple, Tesla, Nike).
- Geopolitical Tensions
- Ongoing conflicts (Ukraine-Russia, Middle East) create global uncertainty and volatility.
- Oil prices fluctuate, leading to unpredictable inflationary pressures.
- AI Boom & Sector Rotations
- AI stocks pumped too fast in 2023-24, leading to profit-taking.
- Money is rotating into defensive sectors (healthcare, utilities) while speculative tech names see a correction.